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The question to carry through

What changes because of this decision, and what capacity does it consume?

A useful operating comparison starts by separating costs that change with the decision from costs that continue anyway. A cheaper unit price can still require an excessive inventory commitment, while a low-margin order can use a bottleneck needed for more valuable work. Keep demand, cash requirements and available capacity as separate checks instead of assuming a positive contribution settles the decision.

Write a base case and an alternative using the same time horizon. Include disposal values, working cash, implementation costs and the opportunity cost of constrained resources where they matter. A prior payment that cannot be recovered is different from a future cost that can still be avoided. The best decision under the model is conditional on these assumptions; it is not proof that actual demand or delivery will follow the plan.

01

Start with incremental demand and cost

For an extra opening hour, count the contribution from additional sales and subtract the costs caused by that extra shift. Do not credit sales merely moved from an earlier hour. Identify which assumptions could leave the staffing cost unchanged while sales disappoint.

Read the analysisKeep the Shop Open Longer Only When Incremental Sales Cover the Shift
02

Price the unsold inventory

Translate a supplier’s minimum order into cash committed, units likely to sell and the loss on a less favorable demand outcome. A volume discount belongs in a full inventory scenario, not a comparison of price per unit alone.

Read the analysisAccept a Supplier Minimum Order Only After Pricing the Unsold Stock
03

Charge for the bottleneck

Ask what another order could earn using the same limited machine time or skilled hours. A positive standalone margin can still displace a better use of capacity. Separate accounting contribution from the incremental gain after the opportunity cost.

Read the analysisAccept a Wholesale Order Only After Charging for Bottleneck Capacity

Original hypothetical case

The same unit contribution under different demand

  • One period fixed operating costs USD 5,000; unit price USD 50; variable unit cost USD 30.
  • No capacity limits, financing, taxes or changes in cost behavior.
Figure 01The numbers, visualizedThe same unit contribution under different demand

Result (USD)

123
1. 200 units sold
-1,000.00
2. 250 units sold
0.00
3. 300 units sold
1,000.00

Shared zero-based value scale. Range: -1,000.00 to 1,000.00, in the units above. Case numbers match the labels; no probability or time trend is implied.

Hypothetical model, not observed market data or a forecast. Assumptions above; original values and calculations below.

The same unit contribution under different demand · stated hypothetical inputs
ScenarioResult (USD)
200 units sold-1,000.00
250 units sold0.00
300 units sold1,000.00

The whole-unit break-even point is 250 under these assumptions. The table is not evidence that 250 units of demand exist, and it omits any extra fixed-cost step needed to supply more volume.

Inspect the arithmetic · Operating profit at 300 units

((300 * (50 - 30)) - 5000) = 1,000.00 USD.

The arithmetic above checks the stated case. The chart uses the values in the accompanying table. Neither the case nor the comparison represents observed outcomes or a probability forecast.

Before applying the conclusion

Three checks worth recording.

  1. Which cash flows exist only because this action is taken?
  2. What scarce capacity or exit option is being used?
  3. What happens if sales disappoint while costs are committed?

Keep the definitions close.

From the library

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